Because of the more compacted PGA Tour schedule, players have to pick their spots to play and take some events off. Several notables have taken a pass on the World Golf Championship event in Mexico City, including Brooks Koepka (No. 2 in the Official World Golf Ranking), Patrick Cantlay (No. 6), Tiger Woods (No. 9), Justin Rose (No. 12), Tony Finau (No. 13) and Francesco Molinari (No. 25). Still, 19 of the top 25 players in the world are playing in this tournament, which is a no-cut event limited to a field of 72.
Since the tournament’s move from Doral in Miami, Dustin Johnson has won the title twice (2019 and 2017) and Phil Mickelson once (2018).
Here are some golfers who are worth a wager to take top honors this weekend:
Rory McIlroy (6/1): McIlroy made a birdie at the last hole on Sunday at Riviera to extend his top-5 event streak to five, which includes a victory at the last WGC event in China. He’s finished second and seventh in his two appearances at the WGC Mexico, and is the favorite here.
Tommy Fleetwood (17/1): This is Fleetwood’s first PGA Tour appearance in 2020, but he has been active starting with a late November win at the Nedbank Golf Challenge. He comes in with three weeks of rest and was a runner-up here back in 2017.
Xander Schauffele (17/1): Three of Schauffele’s four career PGA Tour wins have come in no-cut, limited fields (2017 Tour Championship, 2018 WGC: HSBC Champions, 2019 Sentry Tournament of Champions). This also looks to be a good spot for him to correct his putting issues that showed in Scottsdale and Riviera.
Hideki Matsuyama (18/1): Matsuyama has shown progressive form early on this season going 45th at Torrey Pines, 16th at Scottsdale and fourth last week at Riviera. Matsuyama has experience on this layout, with two top-25 finishes.
Paul Casey (30/1): Casey shot 65-65 on the weekend here last year, which was actually two shots better than Johnson, who won the event by five shots. Casey has improved his finish each year in Mexico with a 16th in 2017, 12th in 2018 and third last year.
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